Wednesday, February 25, 2009

LeBron James' Pace-Adjusted Triple Double

If LeBron James played like he has this year at the pace NBA games were played at in 1962 (when Oscar Robertson became the only player ever to average a triple double for a season), his per game averages would be a stunning 40.1 points, 10.3 rebounds, and 10.0 assists. No wonder he is on track to post the highest PER in history, topping even Michael Jordan's best seasons!

But, because he's playing fewer minutes than he has in the past (because the Cavs are winning a lot of blowouts, while also trying to keep him fresh for the playoffs, James is over 3 minutes per game off his career average, and over 2 minutes a game off his previous season low, which was in his rookie season) and because the Cavs play at such a slow pace, no one outside the stat-geek community seems to be noticing.

Anyway, this piece by Neil Paine of Basketball-Reference.com is a must read for someone who wants to understand how to translate player performance across time.

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